Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Den Bosch win with a probability of 60.34%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for MVV Maastricht had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Den Bosch win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.96%) and 1-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.39%), while for a MVV Maastricht win it was 1-2 (5.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Den Bosch would win this match.
