Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 42.74%. A win for Westerlo had a probability of 32.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Westerlo win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.