Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 52.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Mechelen had a probability of 23.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Mechelen win it was 1-0 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.