Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 42.52%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.14%) and 0-2 (5.99%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 2-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.