Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 47.24%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Union SG win was 2-1 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
