Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.68%. A win for Mechelen had a probability of 27.43% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.36%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Mechelen win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.
