Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 56.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Sint-Truiden had a probability of 21.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.42%) and 0-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for a Sint-Truiden win it was 2-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Union SG in this match.