The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Friday night's Turkish Super Lig showdown between out-of-form Fenerbahce and resurgent basement dwellers Kayserispor.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 78.8%. A draw had a probability of 14% and a win for Kayserispor had a probability of 7.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.23%) and 1-0 (10.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.64%), while for a Kayserispor win it was 0-1 (2.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fenerbahce | Draw | Kayserispor |
| 78.8% | 13.96% | 7.24% |
| Both teams to score 44.63% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
