Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Watford win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 31.48% and a draw has a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.81%).
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 41.5% ( | 27.02% ( | 31.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 49.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.83% ( | 55.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.59% ( | 76.41% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.8% ( | 26.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.71% ( | 61.29% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.69% ( | 32.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.19% ( | 68.81% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 11.33% ( 2-1 @ 8.58% ( 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 3-1 @ 3.83% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 4-1 @ 1.28% ( 4-0 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 41.49% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0-0 @ 8.47% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.02% | 0-1 @ 9.56% ( 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0-2 @ 5.4% ( 1-3 @ 2.73% ( 0-3 @ 2.04% ( 2-3 @ 1.83% ( Other @ 2.69% Total : 31.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 36 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 72 | 23 | 49 | 76 |
| 2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 76 |
| 3 | Burnley | 36 | 20 | 14 | 2 | 49 | 10 | 39 | 74 |
| 4 | Sunderland | 36 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 54 | 33 | 21 | 68 |
| 5 | Coventry CityCoventry | 36 | 16 | 8 | 12 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 56 |
| 6 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 36 | 13 | 16 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Bristol City | 36 | 13 | 14 | 9 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 53 |
| 8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 36 | 15 | 7 | 14 | 41 | 37 | 4 | 52 |
| 9 | Middlesbrough | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 55 | 47 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Norwich CityNorwich | 36 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 57 | 49 | 8 | 49 |
| 11 | Watford | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 50 | -4 | 49 |
| 12 | Millwall | 36 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 48 |
| 13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 48 |
| 14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 41 | 46 | -5 | 44 |
| 15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 44 |
| 16 | Preston North EndPreston | 36 | 9 | 16 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 43 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 44 | 57 | -13 | 42 |
| 18 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 39 |
| 19 | Hull City | 36 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 36 | 45 | -9 | 37 |
| 20 | Stoke CityStoke | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 36 |
| 21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 39 | 59 | -20 | 36 |
| 22 | Derby CountyDerby | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 35 | 49 | -14 | 32 |
| 23 | Luton TownLuton | 36 | 8 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 59 | -27 | 31 |
| 24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 36 | 73 | -37 | 30 |
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