Montevideo Wanderers
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 5
Mar 10, 2025 at 11pm UK
Parque Alfredo Victor Viera
Cerro Largo logo

Wanderers
3 - 0
Cerro Largo

Rivero (19' pen.), Alejandro Acosta Fernandez (62'), Crucci (78' pen.)
Figueredo (23'), Rivero (36'), Gonzalez (59'), Zazpe (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gonzalez (45+2')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Montevideo Wanderers and Cerro Largo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 0-0 Wanderers (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, March 5 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Cerro Largo 2-2 Danubio (4-3 pen.)
Thursday, March 6 at 10pm in Copa Sudamericana

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 35.22%. A win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 33.34% and a draw had a probability of 31.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.01%) and 1-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Montevideo Wanderers win was 1-0 (13.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 0-0 (14.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
33.34% (-0.602 -0.6)31.44% (0.179 0.18)35.22% (0.42299999999999 0.42)
Both teams to score 38.49% (-0.45200000000001 -0.45)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
30.64% (-0.511 -0.51)69.36% (0.50999999999999 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
13.18% (-0.332 -0.33)86.82% (0.331 0.33)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.37% (-0.729 -0.73)38.63% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.62% (-0.701 -0.7)75.38% (0.70100000000001 0.7)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.71% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)37.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)74.07% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Montevideo Wanderers 33.34%
    Cerro Largo 35.22%
    Draw 31.43%
Montevideo WanderersDrawCerro Largo
1-0 @ 13.7% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.137 -0.14)
2-1 @ 6.43% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.086 -0.09)
3-1 @ 2.04% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 33.34%
0-0 @ 14.4% (0.27 0.27)
1-1 @ 13.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.17% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 31.43%
0-1 @ 14.21% (0.27 0.27)
0-2 @ 7.01% (0.134 0.13)
1-2 @ 6.67% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.31% (0.044 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.04% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 35.22%

Head to Head
Nov 19, 2024 12.30am
Gameweek 13
Cerro Largo
4-0
Wanderers
Bertochi (9'), Cosentino (42', 66'), Anasco (90')
Di Pippa (85')

Alberti (70')
May 19, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 13
Wanderers
1-0
Cerro Largo
Vega (45+2')
Fonseca (39'), Viudez (42'), Ferreira (67'), Guzman (87')

Pereira (16'), Ferrares (39'), Prado (61')
Oct 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 5
Wanderers
1-1
Cerro Largo
Fonseca (65')
Cerro (48'), Fonseca (60')
Alaniz (86')
Rabino (45+2'), Gonzalez (60')
Mar 5, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro Largo
0-0
Wanderers
Aug 6, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
1-1
Wanderers
Beltran (71')
Enrique (38'), Correa (86'), Max (90+5')
Ferreira (67')
Garcia (34'), Estol (35'), Acosta (79'), Fonseca (86'), Wagner (86')
Santurio (48')