Cerro Largo logo
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 13
Nov 19, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla
Montevideo Wanderers

Cerro Largo
4 - 0
Wanderers

Bertochi (9', 9'), Cosentino (42', 42', 66', 66'), Anasco (90', 90')
Di Pippa (85'), Di Pippa (85')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Alberti (70'), Alberti (70')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Cerro Largo and Montevideo Wanderers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cerro Largo

All competitions
Last Game: Cerro Largo 0-0 Liverpool
Wednesday, November 13 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Montevideo Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Wanderers 0-2 Penarol
Thursday, November 14 at 10.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 41.68%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Montevideo Wanderers had a probability of 28.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Montevideo Wanderers win it was 0-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerro Largo would win this match.

Result
Cerro LargoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
41.68% (0.511 0.51)30.31% (0.025000000000002 0.03)28.01% (-0.533 -0.53)
Both teams to score 39.75% (-0.296 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.83% (-0.233 -0.23)67.17% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.62% (-0.156 -0.16)85.38% (0.158 0.16)
Cerro Largo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.04% (0.179 0.18)31.96% (-0.176 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.59% (0.203 0.2)68.41% (-0.20099999999999 -0.2)
Montevideo Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.43% (-0.587 -0.59)41.57% (0.587 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.94% (-0.519 -0.52)78.06% (0.521 0.52)
Score Analysis
    Cerro Largo 41.68%
    Montevideo Wanderers 28%
    Draw 30.3%
Cerro LargoDrawMontevideo Wanderers
1-0 @ 15.15% (0.2 0.2)
2-0 @ 8.64% (0.158 0.16)
2-1 @ 7.59% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.076 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.021 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.27% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 41.68%
1-1 @ 13.3% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 13.28% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 3.33% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 30.3%
0-1 @ 11.66% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 5.84% (-0.11 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.12% (-0.122 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 1.21%
Total : 28%

Head to Head
May 19, 2024 9.30pm
Gameweek 13
Wanderers
1-0
Cerro Largo
Vega (45+2')
Fonseca (39'), Viudez (42'), Ferreira (67'), Guzman (87')

Pereira (16'), Ferrares (39'), Prado (61')
Oct 14, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 5
Wanderers
1-1
Cerro Largo
Fonseca (65')
Cerro (48'), Fonseca (60')
Alaniz (86')
Rabino (45+2'), Gonzalez (60')
Mar 5, 2023 10.30pm
Gameweek 5
Cerro Largo
0-0
Wanderers
Aug 6, 2022 7pm
Gameweek 2
Cerro Largo
1-1
Wanderers
Beltran (71')
Enrique (38'), Correa (86'), Max (90+5')
Ferreira (67')
Garcia (34'), Estol (35'), Acosta (79'), Fonseca (86'), Wagner (86')
Santurio (48')
Mar 18, 2022 12.30am
First Round 2nd Leg
Cerro Largo
0-1
Wanderers
Ramis (26'), Enrique (66'), Max (77'), Gianoli (80')
Pais (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Defensor SportingDefensor22005326
2Montevideo WanderersWanderers22003126
3PenarolPenarol21103124
4LiverpoolLiverpool20201102
5Cerro Largo201134-11
6CerroCerro201112-11
7Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia201113-21
8River PlateRiver Plate200213-20
Group 2
1Racing de MontevideoRacing22003036
2DanubioDanubio22003036
3NacionalNacional22003126
4Juventud21015503
5Boston RiverBoston River210134-13
6Montevideo City TorqueTorque200235-20
7ProgresoProgreso200202-20
8Miramar Misiones200203-30
 
Apertura
1LiverpoolLiverpool159512291332
2NacionalNacional1594235161931
3Juventud159332315830
4PenarolPenarol158342117427
5Defensor SportingDefensor157351712524
6Racing de MontevideoRacing156541410423
7Boston RiverBoston River156451617-122
8Cerro Largo155641516-121
9Plaza ColoniaPlaza Colonia155461313019
10Montevideo City TorqueTorque154561622-617
11ProgresoProgreso153661727-1015
12CerroCerro153661320-714
13Montevideo WanderersWanderers152671217-512
14DanubioDanubio151951217-512
15Miramar Misiones153391624-812
16River PlateRiver Plate152491020-1010
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


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