Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cercle Brugge win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cercle Brugge win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.12%). The likeliest Leuven win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.