Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 28.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Hannover win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
