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Women's Super League | Gameweek 21
May 4, 2025 at 2pm UK
The Borough Sports Ground

Crystal Palace
2 - 2
Leicester

Blanchard (69' pen.), Larkin (90+8')
Blanchard (82')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cain (45+2'), O'Brien (90+4')
Nevin (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's Super League clash between Crystal Palace Women and Leicester City Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-7 West Ham
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30pm in Women's Super League
Last Game: Leicester 0-1 Man City
Sunday, April 27 at 3pm in Women's Super League

We said: Crystal Palace Women 1-2 Leicester City Women

Leicester may have gone 15 WSL road trips without a win, but we believe that they could end their long wait for an away win when they face a Palace side that will be bereft of confidence following four consecutive defeats. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace Women win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Leicester City Women had a probability of 29.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace Women win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Leicester City Women win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Crystal Palace WomenDrawLeicester City Women
46.58% (0.028000000000006 0.03) 23.69% (0.303 0.3) 29.74% (-0.323 -0.32)
Both teams to score 60.03% (-1.287 -1.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.33% (-1.605 -1.61)41.67% (1.612 1.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.93% (-1.642 -1.64)64.07% (1.648 1.65)
Crystal Palace Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.88% (-0.613 -0.61)18.12% (0.62 0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.93% (-1.063 -1.06)49.07% (1.07 1.07)
Leicester City Women Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.32% (-1.01 -1.01)26.68% (1.018 1.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.07% (-1.357 -1.36)61.94% (1.364 1.36)
Score Analysis
    Crystal Palace Women 46.58%
    Leicester City Women 29.74%
    Draw 23.68%
Crystal Palace WomenDrawLeicester City Women
2-1 @ 9.32% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
1-0 @ 8.26% (0.43 0.43)
2-0 @ 7.05% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 5.31% (-0.084 -0.08)
3-0 @ 4.02% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.27% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 1.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 46.58%
1-1 @ 10.91% (0.27 0.27)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.153 -0.15)
0-0 @ 4.84% (0.343 0.34)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.68%
1-2 @ 7.21% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.39% (0.278 0.28)
0-2 @ 4.22% (0.066 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.17% (-0.108 -0.11)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 1.86% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.05% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 29.74%

Head to Head
Oct 6, 2024 3pm
rhs 2.0
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