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Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
St Louis City

Minnesota Utd
vs.
St Louis City

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS clash between Minnesota United and St Louis City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 2-0 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, May 15 at 1.30am in MLS Playoffs
Last Game: St Louis City 2-2 Kansas
Thursday, May 15 at 1.45am in MLS Playoffs

We say: Minnesota United 3-1 St Louis City

Minnesota United have gotten the better of this fixture of late and are the more in-form team heading into Sunday's game, and as a result, we are backing the home side to cruise to a routine win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 68.7%. A draw has a probability of 17.8% and a win for St Louis City has a probability of 13.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.67%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.23%), while for a St Louis City win it is 1-2 (3.88%).

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSt Louis City
68.7% (0.0050000000000097 0.01) 17.81% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01) 13.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.23% (0.055 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.9% (0.064 0.06)36.1% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.8% (0.067999999999998 0.07)58.2% (-0.067 -0.07)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.46% (0.018999999999991 0.02)9.55% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.03% (0.041000000000011 0.04)31.97% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
St Louis City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (0.052 0.05)38.94% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.33% (0.048999999999999 0.05)75.67% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 68.7%
    St Louis City 13.49%
    Draw 17.81%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSt Louis City
2-0 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.67% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 8.73% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.57% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 4.72%
4-1 @ 4.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 2.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.09% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 68.7%
1-1 @ 8.23% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 17.81%
1-2 @ 3.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 3.51% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.65%
2-3 @ 1.43% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 13.49%

Who will win Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Minnesota Utd and St Louis City?

Minnesota United
Draw
St Louis City
Minnesota United
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
St Louis City
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Oct 20, 2024 2am
Minnesota Utd
4-1
St Louis City
Lod (21'), Sang-bin (72', 84'), Kessler (78' og.)
Pereyra (59'), Yeboah (66')
Hartel (75')
Alm (74')
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
St Louis City
1-3
Minnesota Utd
Teuchert (4')
Lowen (90')
Hlongwane (24'), Reid (52' og.), Yeboah (62' pen.)
Boxall (20'), Sang-bin (90+3')
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
Minnesota Utd
1-2
St Louis City
Pukki (48' pen.)
St Clair (20'), Gregus (31'), Boxall (79'), Taylor (85')
Klauss (64'), Blom (73')
Yaro (29'), Burki (47'), Bell (59')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Columbus Crew127412012825
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati128131714325
3Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia1272323121123
4Inter MiamiInter Miami116322115621
5Nashville SCNashville126242215720
6Charlotte FCCharlotte FC126151914519
7Orlando City124622115618
8New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls125341913618
9New England RevolutionNew England115241210217
10New York City FCNY City125251314-117
11Chicago Fire124442023-316
12DC United123361325-1212
13Toronto122461016-610
14Atlanta UnitedAtlanta122461322-910
15CF MontrealMontreal12138616-106

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver1283124101427
2Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd126421911822
3Portland TimbersPortland126332219321
4Seattle SoundersSeattle125432014619
5Los Angeles FCLos Angeles125341918118
6San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes125162620616
7Colorado RapidsColorado124441518-316
8Dallas124441520-516
9Austin FCAustin12516815-716
10Real Salt LakeSalt Lake124171318-513
11St Louis City12246914-510
12Houston DynamoHouston122461119-810
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas112181622-67
14Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy11038827-193
15San Diego FC00000000


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