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[monks data]
Oct 2, 2022 at 4.30pm UK at Elland Road
Leeds
0 - 0
Aston Villa

Sinisterra (26'), Roca (35'), Rodrigo (39'), Koch (83')
Sinisterra (48')
FT

Augustinsson (6'), Bailey (64')

Preview: Leeds United vs. Aston Villa - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Leeds United and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Leeds United will endeavour to snap a three-game winless streak in the Premier League when Aston Villa pay a visit to Elland Road on Sunday afternoon.

The Whites were thumped 5-2 by Brentford during their most recent encounter, while Steven Gerrard's side ran out 1-0 winners over Southampton before the international break.


Match preview

Leeds United manager Jesse Marsch on August 21, 2022© Reuters

Any shred of defensive acumen that Leeds had previously demonstrated was nowhere to be seen at the Brentford Community Stadium on September 3, as Thomas Frank's side ran out convincing 5-2 winners thanks in no small part to an Ivan Toney hat-trick.

Luis Sinisterra and Marc Roca's efforts for Leeds proved inconsequential, and Jesse Marsch's red card added insult to injury for the Whites, whose meeting with Villa will mark their first dose of competitive action in nearly a month.

With the state funeral of Queen Elizabeth II taking priority, security concerns surrounding their showdown with Manchester United led to the postponement of that game, but Leeds are still sitting in a healthy 11th place in the table, with a game in hand on most of the teams around them.

After taking seven points from their first three games of the new season, Leeds have now posted just one point from their last three top-flight outings, but thankfully for Marsch, Elland Road has been something of a fortress for his side so far.

Indeed, the Whites have won three of their four games on home soil in all competitions this season - drawing their most recent one against Everton at the end of August - and they are one of five teams to have conceded a league-low two goals on their own patch so far.

Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard on September 16, 2022© Reuters

Not since the 2001-02 season have Leeds managed to go unbeaten in their first four home games of a top-flight campaign, and Villa will certainly be intent on extending their hosts' streak after returning to winning ways themselves in a dull meeting with Southampton on September 16.

Such was the dire nature of the contest that John McGinn admitted that he would have turned the television off if watching at home, but a 41st-minute strike from Jacob Ramsey was all that the Lions needed to end their four-game winless run in the top flight.

That narrow success has done little to elevate Gerrard's side in the standings, as Villa occupy 15th spot in the table ahead of Sunday's game - one point clear of Crystal Palace, who have a game in hand - and three above the relegation line.

A 4-1 win away at Bolton Wanderers in the EFL Cup is all well and good, but Villa have suffered four defeats from their last four road matches in the Premier League - shipping 10 goals in the process - and the international break was not kind to Gerrard in terms of injuries.

Villa can be encouraged by the fact that they have posted back-to-back wins at Elland Road since Leeds joined them back in the Premier League in 2020, and the Whites are winless in four league matches against the Lions at home since a 2-0 success in December 2016.

Leeds United Premier League form:


Leeds United form (all competitions):


Aston Villa Premier League form:


Aston Villa form (all competitions):



Team News

Lucas Digne in action for Aston Villa on August 6, 2022© Reuters

Leeds will be boosted by the return of Rasmus Kristensen for the meeting with Villa after the right-back missed the loss to Brentford due to injury. Cody Drameh will therefore drop out of the side, but Kristensen will still have to fend off competition from Luke Ayling.

Stuart Dallas remains sidelined for the hosts, who should be able to welcome Rodrigo back from a dislocated shoulder, while Junior Firpo is also in line to return after featuring for the Under-21s in September. The treatment room has welcomed two new occupants, though, as Adam Forshaw has a sprained ankle while Archie Gray sustained a small fracture at home after stubbing his toe.

However, Pascal Struijk will have no intention of ceding his new-found left-back role, but in the heart of defence, Diego Llorente may be fearing for his place as Liam Cooper looks to slot back in.

While Leeds - who are also without Marsch due to a touchline ban - should be benefited by returning players, it is the opposite for Villa, who lost Boubacar Kamara to a knee ligament injury at the end of the first half against Southampton.

Gerrard admitted at the time that he was concerned about the Frenchman's issue, which forced him to withdraw from international duty, and he is now expected to spend around two months recovering.

Kamara's compatriot Lucas Digne was called up to an injury-hit France squad as a replacement for Theo Hernandez before pulling out himself with a reported stress fracture in his ankle, which will rule him out for a number of weeks.

Diego Carlos is out for the long term, and Matty Cash has revealed that he is closing in on a return from a hamstring injury, but Ashley Young will most likely be required at right-back for the time being.

Leeds United possible starting lineup:
Meslier; Kristensen, Cooper, Koch, Struijk; Adams, Roca; Sinisterra, Aaronson, Harrison; Bamford

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Young, Konsa, Mings, Augustinsson; McGinn, Luiz, Ramsey; Buendia, Watkins, Coutinho


SM words green background

We say: Leeds United 2-1 Aston Villa

Elland Road has been a happy hunting ground for Aston Villa in recent memory, but with Gerrard's side particularly short in the full-back areas and known for their shortcomings away from home, Sunday's trip may not be a pleasant one.

In contrast, Leeds have reserved their best performances for Elland Road and have had over a month to recover from the 5-2 thrashing at Brentford, which has also benefited their injured crop, and we have faith in the Whites to return to winning ways as Marsch watches on from afar.


For data analysis of the most likely results, scorelines and more for this match please click here.


Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 2.5:data

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How you voted: Leeds vs Aston Villa

Leeds United
60.1%
Draw
17.8%
Aston Villa
22.0%
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Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal980123101324
2Manchester CityMan City97203392423
3Tottenham HotspurSpurs962120101020
4Chelsea85121310316
5Manchester UnitedMan Utd85031315-215
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9351179814
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton94231411314
8Brentford103431817113
9Bournemouth9333820-1212
10Fulham93241418-411
11Liverpool82422012810
12Everton924389-110
13Crystal Palace92431012-210
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham9315810-210
15Leeds UnitedLeeds82331112-19
16Aston Villa9234711-49
17Southampton9216817-97
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves9135312-96
19Leicester CityLeicester101271524-95
20Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9126722-155

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