Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metal Kharkiv win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Vorskla Poltava had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metal Kharkiv win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.17%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Vorskla Poltava win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Metal Kharkiv would win this match.