Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palermo win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Pisa had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palermo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Pisa win was 0-1 (10.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.