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Premier League | Gameweek 32
Apr 13, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
St. James' Park
Manchester United logo

Newcastle
vs.
Man Utd

Coverage of the Premier League clash between Newcastle United and Manchester United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Man Utd
Thursday, April 10 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Newcastle United win with a probability of 41.32%. A win for Manchester United has a probability of 35.96% and a draw has a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Manchester United win is 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.77%).

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester United
41.32% (-1.985 -1.99) 22.72% (0.102 0.1) 35.96% (1.885 1.89)
Both teams to score 66.21% (0.107 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.36% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)34.64% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.41% (-0.065000000000005 -0.07)56.59% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.57% (-0.81500000000001 -0.82)17.43% (0.818 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.12% (-1.445 -1.45)47.87% (1.447 1.45)
Manchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.18% (0.914 0.91)19.82% (-0.911 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.1% (1.46 1.46)51.89% (-1.457 -1.46)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 41.32%
    Manchester United 35.96%
    Draw 22.73%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester United
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-0 @ 6.03% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-0 @ 5.27% (-0.276 -0.28)
3-1 @ 4.97% (-0.255 -0.26)
3-2 @ 4.02% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-0 @ 3.07% (-0.25 -0.25)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.175 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.76% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
4-3 @ 0.95% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 41.32%
1-1 @ 9.77% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.91% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.45% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.17% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 22.73%
1-2 @ 7.9% (0.251 0.25)
0-1 @ 5.59% (0.172 0.17)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.261 0.26)
1-3 @ 4.26% (0.25 0.25)
2-3 @ 3.73% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.205 0.21)
1-4 @ 1.73% (0.146 0.15)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.09 0.09)
0-4 @ 0.99% (0.108 0.11)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 35.96%

Who will win Sunday's Premier League clash between Newcastle and Man Utd?

Newcastle United
Draw
Manchester United
Newcastle United
33.3%
Draw
66.7%
Manchester United
0.0%
3
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 19
Man Utd
0-2
Newcastle

Martinez (61')
Isak (4'), Joelinton (19')
Schar (80')
May 15, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 34
Man Utd
3-2
Newcastle
Mainoo (31'), Diallo (57'), Hojlund (84')
Casemiro (62'), Diallo (81'), Amrabat (87')
Gordon (49'), Hall (90+2')
Anderson (37'), Gordon (68'), Schar (78')
Dec 2, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 14
Newcastle
1-0
Man Utd
Gordon (55')
Joelinton (90+7')

Maguire (77'), Antony (90+2')
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
Round of 16
Man Utd
0-3
Newcastle

Mejbri (14'), Casemiro (19'), Reguilon (77'), Amrabat (79')
Almiron (29'), Hall (36'), Willock (61')
Willock (46'), Joelinton (82')
Apr 2, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Newcastle
2-0
Man Utd
Willock (65'), Wilson (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle30165952391353
6Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
7Aston Villa3114984646051
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3145222570-4517
20Southampton3124252374-5110


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