

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 65.08%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 16.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.79%) and 1-3 (7.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.58%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 16.95% ( | 17.97% ( | 65.08% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.91% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.83% ( | 29.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.81% ( | 50.18% ( |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.86% ( | 30.14% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.71% ( | 66.28% ( |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.49% ( | 8.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.52% ( | 29.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 4.55% ( 1-0 @ 3.08% ( 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 2-0 @ 1.85% ( 3-1 @ 1.82% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 16.95% | 1-1 @ 7.58% ( 2-2 @ 5.6% ( 0-0 @ 2.57% ( 3-3 @ 1.84% ( Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.97% | 1-2 @ 9.34% ( 0-2 @ 7.79% ( 1-3 @ 7.67% ( 0-3 @ 6.39% ( 0-1 @ 6.32% ( 1-4 @ 4.72% ( 2-3 @ 4.6% ( 0-4 @ 3.94% ( 2-4 @ 2.83% ( 1-5 @ 2.33% ( 0-5 @ 1.94% ( 2-5 @ 1.4% ( 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 1-6 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 3.73% Total : 65.08% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 |
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
| 10 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 |
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