

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 87.77%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 4.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 3-0 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (8.64%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.37%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-2 (1.35%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 87.77% (  0.11) | 7.97% (  -0.06) | 4.25% (  -0.05) | 
| Both teams to score 53.69% (  -0.12) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 82.25% (  0.06) | 17.75% (  -0.07) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 65.18% (  0.1) | 34.81% (  -0.1) | 
| Feyenoord Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 97.43% (  0.02) | 2.56% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 88.05% (  0.08) | 11.95% (  -0.08) | 
| PEC Zwolle Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 55.1% (  -0.14) | 44.89% (  0.14) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 19.15% (  -0.11) | 80.85% (  0.11) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Feyenoord | Draw | PEC Zwolle | 
| 3-0 @ 9.43% (  0.01) 4-0 @ 8.64% (  0.03) 2-0 @ 7.72% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.55% (  -0.02) 4-1 @ 6.92% (  0) 5-0 @ 6.33% (  0.04) 2-1 @ 6.18% (  -0.03) 5-1 @ 5.07% (  0.01) 1-0 @ 4.21% (  -0.01) 6-0 @ 3.87% (  0.03) 6-1 @ 3.1% (  0.01) 3-2 @ 3.03% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 2.77% (  -0.01) 5-2 @ 2.03% (  -0) 7-0 @ 2.03% (  0.02) 7-1 @ 1.62% (  0.01) 6-2 @ 1.24% (  0) 8-0 @ 0.93% (  0.01) Other @ 5.1% Total : 87.77% | 1-1 @ 3.37% (  -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.48% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 1.15% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 7.97% | 1-2 @ 1.35% (  -0.02) 0-1 @ 0.92% (  -0.01) Other @ 1.97% Total : 4.25% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 62 | 26 | 36 | 73 | 
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 | 
| 3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 | 
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 | 
| 5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 | 
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 | 
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 | 
| 8 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 38 | 53 | -15 | 37 | 
| 9 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 | 
| 10 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 | 
| 11 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 | 
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 | 
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 | 
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 | 
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 | 
| 16 | Willem II | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 30 | 49 | -19 | 24 | 
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 | 
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 19 | 
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
