Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MVV Maastricht win with a probability of 42.46%. A win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 32.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a MVV Maastricht win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Helmond Sport win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood.
