Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 61.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Helmond Sport had a probability of 18.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.68%) and 0-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.66%), while for a Helmond Sport win it was 2-1 (4.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for De Graafschap in this match.
