Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 68.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.9% and a win for Roda JC had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.69%) and 1-0 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for a Roda JC win it was 1-2 (4%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
