Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.74%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 23.29% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.41%) and 0-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (5.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.17%). The actual scoreline of 7-3 was predicted with a 0% likelihood.
