Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong FC Utrecht win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 37.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.01%) and 2-0 (5.07%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
