Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou win with a probability of 63.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cangzhou Mighty Lions had a probability of 15.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.7%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for a Cangzhou Mighty Lions win it was 1-0 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou would win this match.
