Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 51.27%. A win for Shenzhen had a probability of 25.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Shenzhen win was 0-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.