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Apr 24, 2021 at 5.15pm UK
New Saints
1 - 4
Connah's Quay
Brobbel (24')
Redmond (32'), Spender (35'), Cieslewicz (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Wilde (8', 30', 45'), Insall (58')
Horan (25'), Poole (34')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between The New Saints and Connah's Quay Nomads.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 46.08%. A win for Connah's Quay Nomads had a probability of 28.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
46.08%25.08%28.84%
Both teams to score 54.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.58%48.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44%70.56%
The New Saints Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.96%21.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.16%53.84%
Connah's Quay Nomads Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.27%30.73%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.01%66.99%
Score Analysis
    The New Saints 46.08%
    Connah's Quay Nomads 28.84%
    Draw 25.08%
The New SaintsDrawConnah's Quay Nomads
1-0 @ 10.07%
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 7.86%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.08%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 46.08%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.47%
3-3 @ 1.12%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.08%
0-1 @ 7.63%
1-2 @ 7.02%
0-2 @ 4.5%
1-3 @ 2.76%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 28.84%

Head to Head
Dec 12, 2020 4.30pm
Connah's Quay
2-0
New Saints
Edwards (58'), Wilde (64')
Morris (15'), Wilde (34'), Farquharson (52'), Disney (83'), Curran (89')

Routledge (33'), Holland (43'), Redmond (83')
Oct 13, 2020 7.45pm
New Saints
1-0
Connah's Quay
Robles (42')
Astles (51'), Robles (90+3'), Draper (90+6')

(21'), (35'), (89')
Feb 21, 2020 8pm
Connah's Quay
1-0
New Saints
Curran (45')
Roberts (4'), Owens (12'), (32'), (90')

Redmond (25'), Holland (52'), Marriott (90')
Jan 18, 2020 5.15pm
New Saints
2-1
Connah's Quay
Morris (26' og.), Spender (70')
Marriott (4'), Nembhard (62'), Hudson (67'), Ebbe (74'), Mullan (86')
Wilde (15')
Disney (39'), Poole (47'), Farquharson (74')
rhs 2.0
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