Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 18.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.14%), while for a Caernarfon Town win it was 1-0 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Connah's Quay Nomads would win this match.