Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.