Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 76.15%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for FC Lviv had a probability of 7.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (12.79%) and 0-3 (11.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.52%), while for a FC Lviv win it was 1-0 (3.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood.
