Hibernian 2-3 St Mirren - Scottish Premiership - August 6, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

2 - 3

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Scottish Premiership clash between Hibernian and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

le Fondre (72'), Doidge (82')
Doyle-Hayes (35'), Doidge (48')

FT(HT: 0-2)

O'Hara (15' pen.), Olusanya (17'), Greive (89')
McMenamin (25'), Baccus (80')

The Match

More game data and we say below the videos

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hibernian 6-1 Inter Escaldes
Thursday, August 3 at 7.15pm in Europa Conference League

Goals
for

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: St Mirren 4-0 Forfar
Saturday, July 29 at 3pm in Scottish League Cup

Goals
for

Having both recorded a series of positive results in recent weeks, Hibernian and St Mirren are expected to play out a close-fought battle on Sunday, with a low-scoring draw looking like the most probable outcome. Read more.

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.95%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 35.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-0 (8.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
Hibernian	Draw	St Mirren
35.58% ( 0.18)	25.47% ( -0.23)	38.95% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 55.98% (

0.8)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.1% (

1.02)

47.9% (

-1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.92% (

0.93)

70.08% (

-0.93)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.9% (

0.59)

26.1% (

-0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.84% (

0.78)

61.16% (

-0.78)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.76% (

0.49)

24.24% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.4% (

0.68)

58.6% (

-0.68)

Score Analysis

Hibernian 35.58%

St Mirren 38.95%

Draw 25.47%

Hibernian	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.32% Total : 35.58%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.47%	0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.95%

Hibernian

83.3%

Draw

11.1%

St Mirren

5.6%

Head to Head

May 6, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 34

2-1

Youan (4'), Fish (23')

Greive (64')

Feb 4, 2023 3pm

Gameweek 25

0-1

Youan (77')

Oct 29, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 13

3-0

Boyle (45+4' pen.), Kukharevych (63'), Henderson (67')

Aug 27, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 5

1-0

Baccus (6')
Ayunga (33')

Newell (13'), Youan (15'), Hanlon (90+3')

Apr 23, 2022 3pm

Gameweek 1

0-1

McCarthy (13')

Henderson (74')
Stevenson (58'), Mueller (90')