

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 61.5%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Arbroath had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.35%), while for an Arbroath win it was 1-2 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 61.5% ( | 20.29% ( | 18.2% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.65% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.66% ( | 38.33% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.38% ( | 60.62% ( |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.97% ( | 12.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.51% ( | 37.48% ( |
| Arbroath Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.52% ( | 34.47% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.81% ( | 71.18% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Raith Rovers | Draw | Arbroath |
| 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 2-0 @ 9.3% ( 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 3-1 @ 6.99% ( 3-0 @ 6.57% ( 3-2 @ 3.72% ( 4-1 @ 3.7% ( 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 4-2 @ 1.97% ( 5-1 @ 1.57% ( 5-0 @ 1.47% ( Other @ 4.03% Total : 61.5% | 1-1 @ 9.35% ( 2-2 @ 5.27% ( 0-0 @ 4.14% ( 3-3 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0-1 @ 4.41% ( 0-2 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 1-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.82% Total : 18.2% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 44 |
| 2 | Raith Rovers | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 44 |
| 3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 42 | 33 | 9 | 36 |
| 4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 23 | -4 | 27 |
| 5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 26 |
| 6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
| 7 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 26 | 39 | -13 | 20 |
| 9 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 20 |
| 10 | Arbroath | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
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