Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 43.53%. A win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 30.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Ural Yekaterinburg win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.