Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Dungannon Swifts and Ballymena United.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 69.59%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 11.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.21%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.77%), while for a Dungannon Swifts win it was 1-0 (4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ballymena United would win this match.