Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cliftonville win with a probability of 59.52%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cliftonville win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.98%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 1-0 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cliftonville would win this match.
