Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 40.75%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.