MX23RW : Thursday, May 1 21:38:47| >> :60:139:139:
San Jose Earthquakes
MLS Playoffs | Regular Season
May 4, 2025 at 3.30am UK
Earthquakes Stadium
Portland Timbers

Earthquakes
vs.
Portland

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Portland Timbers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Earthquakes
Sunday, April 27 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: LA Galaxy 2-4 Portland
Monday, April 28 at 2am in Major League Soccer

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 47.33%. A win for Portland Timbers has a probability of 31.01% and a draw has a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-1 (5.82%) and 1-0 (5.65%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win is 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.91%).

Result
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
47.33% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 21.66% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 31.01% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 68.39% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)31.04% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)52.43% (0.0030000000000001 0)
San Jose Earthquakes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.2% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)13.8% (0.02 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.86% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)41.14% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.34% (0.033999999999992 0.03)20.66% (-0.029 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.76% (0.051000000000002 0.05)53.23% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    San Jose Earthquakes 47.33%
    Portland Timbers 31.01%
    Draw 21.66%
San Jose EarthquakesDrawPortland Timbers
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.82% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-0 @ 5.65% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.69% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.2%
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 47.33%
1-1 @ 8.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-2 @ 6.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-0 @ 2.85%
3-3 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 21.66%
1-2 @ 7.02% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.69% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.66% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.55% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.86% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.01%

Who will win Sunday's MLS Playoffs clash between Earthquakes and Portland?

San Jose Earthquakes
Draw
Portland Timbers
San Jose Earthquakes
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Portland Timbers
0.0%
0
Head to Head
Jun 20, 2024 3.30am
Earthquakes
1-2
Portland
Marie (50')
Evander (22'), Rodriguez (72')
Bravo (48'), Evander (76'), Fogaca (87'), Moreno (89'), Miller (90+4')
May 16, 2024 3.30am
Portland
4-2
Earthquakes
Evander (74' pen.), Rodriguez (80', 90+10'), Mora (90' pen.)
Miller (82')
Pellegrino (31'), Lopez (34')
Yarbrough (89')
Wilson (71')
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Earthquakes
Paredes (45+3'), Evander (58')
Paredes (41'), Bingham (90+8')
Hoppe (60')
Marie (32'), Gruezo (35'), Espinoza (90+2')
Jun 18, 2023 3.30am
Earthquakes
0-0
Portland
Cowell (51'), Marie (54'), Thompson (90+1')
Moreno (18'), Zuparic (44'), Miller (64')
Jul 24, 2022 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Earthquakes
van Rankin (39'), Chara (40'), Bravo (40'), Asprilla (67')
Cardoso (49'), Remedi (53'), Yueill (78')
rhs 2.0
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