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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 54.79%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 23.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Salford City |
54.79% (![]() | 22.15% (![]() | 23.06% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.03% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.85% (![]() | 40.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.48% (![]() | 62.51% (![]() |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.38% (![]() | 14.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.28% (![]() | 42.72% (![]() |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.13% (![]() | 30.87% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.85% (![]() | 67.15% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Salford City |
2-1 @ 9.81% 1-0 @ 8.68% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.34% 3-1 @ 6.29% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.35% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.7% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.02% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.16% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.99% ( ![]() Other @ 3.12% Total : 54.79% | 1-1 @ 10.19% 2-2 @ 5.76% 0-0 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.14% | 1-2 @ 5.99% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.12% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.22% ( ![]() Other @ 2.82% Total : 23.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Stockport CountyStockport | 46 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 96 | 48 | 48 | 92 |
P | Wrexham | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 89 | 52 | 37 | 88 |
P | Mansfield TownMansfield | 46 | 24 | 14 | 8 | 90 | 47 | 43 | 86 |
4 | MK Dons | 46 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 83 | 68 | 15 | 78 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 46 | 21 | 8 | 17 | 73 | 68 | 5 | 71 |
6 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 69 | 65 | 4 | 71 |
7 | Crawley TownCrawley | 46 | 21 | 7 | 18 | 73 | 67 | 6 | 70 |
8 | BarrowBarrow | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 62 | 56 | 6 | 69 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 46 | 19 | 12 | 15 | 61 | 59 | 2 | 69 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 64 | 51 | 13 | 65 |
11 | Walsall | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 69 | 73 | -4 | 65 |
12 | Gillingham | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 64 |
13 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 60 | 69 | -9 | 63 |
14 | Notts County | 46 | 18 | 7 | 21 | 89 | 86 | 3 | 61 |
15 | Morecambe | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 67 | 81 | -14 | 58 |
16 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 46 | 17 | 6 | 23 | 67 | 70 | -3 | 57 |
17 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 63 | 71 | -8 | 57 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 46 | 16 | 7 | 23 | 62 | 76 | -14 | 55 |
19 | Swindon TownSwindon | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 77 | 83 | -6 | 54 |
20 | Salford City | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 51 |
21 | Grimsby Town | 46 | 11 | 16 | 19 | 57 | 74 | -17 | 49 |
22 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 46 | 11 | 12 | 23 | 59 | 80 | -21 | 45 |
R | Sutton UnitedSutton | 46 | 9 | 15 | 22 | 59 | 84 | -25 | 42 |
R | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 46 | 11 | 9 | 26 | 44 | 78 | -34 | 42 |
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