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J1 League | Gameweek 4
Mar 2, 2025 at 5am UK
City Light Stadium

Okayama
1 - 1
Shimizu S-Pulse

Kimura (75')
Matsumoto (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jeranireshon (68')
Kitazume (83')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Fagiano Okayama and Shimizu S-Pulse.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Okayama 2-0 Gamba Osaka
Wednesday, February 26 at 10am in J1 League
Last Game: Shimizu S-Pulse 1-1 Hiroshima
Wednesday, February 26 at 10am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shimizu S-Pulse win with a probability of 42.19%. A win for Fagiano Okayama had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shimizu S-Pulse win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Fagiano Okayama win was 1-0 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Fagiano OkayamaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
30.74% (0.146 0.15) 27.06% (0.055 0.05) 42.19% (-0.204 -0.2)
Both teams to score 49.54% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.43% (-0.163 -0.16)55.56% (0.161 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.26% (-0.134 -0.13)76.73% (0.13199999999999 0.13)
Fagiano Okayama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.96% (0.021000000000001 0.02)33.04% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.37% (0.024000000000001 0.02)69.63% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Shimizu S-Pulse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.181 -0.18)26.01% (0.178 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.95% (-0.242 -0.24)61.04% (0.24 0.24)
Score Analysis
    Fagiano Okayama 30.74%
    Shimizu S-Pulse 42.19%
    Draw 27.05%
Fagiano OkayamaDrawShimizu S-Pulse
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 7.1% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.95% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.76% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 30.74%
1-1 @ 12.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.59% (0.052999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.78% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 11.57% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.63% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.79% (-0.031 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 3.5% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.3% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 42.19%

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