MX23RW : Thursday, May 29 09:18:37| >> :60:1474:1474:
Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 11, 2024 at 6pm UK
Kaarlen kentta

VPS
1 - 2
Zalgiris

Ahiabu (59')
Pitkanen (62'), Vlijter (90+2'), Niemi (90+6'), Niemi (90+6')
Pitkanen (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Fofana (25'), Kendysh (90+4')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Vaasan Palloseura and FK Zalgiris.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VPS 2-3 EIF
Saturday, July 6 at 3pm in Finnish Veikkausliiga
Last Game: Ferencvaros 3-0 Zalgiris
Thursday, August 31 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Ilves302.00Haarala
2HJK Helsinki281.75Plange
3KuPS271.80Luyeye-Lutumba
4SJK261.73Moreno
5VPS251.67Borchers
6Haka221.57Patoulidis
7Inter Turku211.40Botue
8Oulu201.43Coffey
9Gnistan191.27Latonen
10EIF161.14Kaufmann
11Mariehamn161.14Larsson
12Lahti130.93Ivanovic

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for Vaasan Palloseura had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Vaasan Palloseura win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FK Zalgiris in this match.

Result
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawFK Zalgiris
33.72% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 24.7% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.57% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 58.29% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.25% (0.017000000000003 0.02)44.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.89% (0.018000000000001 0.02)67.11% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Vaasan Palloseura Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)25.7% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38% (0.009999999999998 0.01)60.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
FK Zalgiris Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.44% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)21.55% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.37% (0.014000000000003 0.01)54.63% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Vaasan Palloseura 33.72%
    FK Zalgiris 41.57%
    Draw 24.7%
Vaasan PalloseuraDrawFK Zalgiris
2-1 @ 7.85% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-0 @ 7.53% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-0 @ 5.11% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.21%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 33.72%
1-1 @ 11.55%
2-2 @ 6.02% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 5.54% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.4% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 8.86%
0-1 @ 8.5% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 6.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 4.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 3.08% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.18% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 41.57%

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