Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium
St Mirren4 - 1Valur
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hrafn Haraldsson (75' pen.)
Karl Finsen (90+1')
Karl Finsen (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between St Mirren and Valur Reykjavik.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Valur 0-0 St Mirren
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Valur 0-0 St Mirren
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Aberdeen | 0 | nan | |
| 2 | Celtic | 0 | nan | |
| 3 | Dundee | 0 | nan | |
| 4 | Dundee Utd | 0 | nan | |
| 5 | Hearts | 0 | nan | |
| 6 | Hibernian | 0 | nan | |
| 7 | Kilmarnock | 0 | nan | |
| 8 | Motherwell | 0 | nan | |
| 9 | Rangers | 0 | nan | |
| 10 | Ross County | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | St Johnstone | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | St Mirren | 0 | nan |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Valur Reykjavik had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Valur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Valur Reykjavik |
42.41% ( 0.77) | 23.16% ( -0.01) | 34.43% ( -0.76) |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( -0.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
