Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 45.59%. A win for Jong AZ had a probability of 33.22% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.65%) and 2-3 (4.87%). The likeliest Jong AZ win was 2-1 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
