Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 60.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.14%), while for a Jong FC Utrecht win it was 1-2 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almere City would win this match.
