Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 33.62% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.26%) and 0-2 (6.09%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
