Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 40.47%. A win for Jong FC Utrecht had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.01%) and 0-2 (6.16%). The likeliest Jong FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Telstar in this match.
