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Arsenal logo
Champions League | Quarter-Finals | 1st Leg
Apr 8, 2025 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium
Real Madrid logo

Arsenal
3 - 0
Real Madrid

Rice (58', 70'), Merino (75')
Partey (54')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Camavinga (69')
Camavinga (90+4')

The Match

Match Report

Declan Rice scores two ridiculous free kicks as Arsenal annihilate Champions League holders Real Madrid 3-0 in the first leg of their quarter-final at the Emirates.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash between Arsenal and Real Madrid.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Arsenal and Real Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Everton 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 50.82%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 26.2% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 1-2 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawReal Madrid
50.82% (0.0080000000000027 0.01) 22.98% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 26.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.65% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.08% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.91% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.69% (0.016999999999996 0.02)63.3% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)16.24% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.24% (0.017000000000003 0.02)45.75% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.22% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)28.78% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.37% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.62% (-0.012 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 50.82%
    Real Madrid 26.2%
    Draw 22.98%
ArsenalDrawReal Madrid
2-1 @ 9.62%
1-0 @ 8.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.72% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.65% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 50.82%
1-1 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 4.67% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 6.59% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 3.63% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.49% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 26.2%

How you voted: Arsenal vs Real Madrid

Arsenal
38.5%
Draw
19.6%
Real Madrid
41.9%
893
Head to Head
Jul 24, 2019 12am
Pre-season Friendlies
Real Madrid
2-2
Arsenal
(Aggregate 2-2 | Real Madrid win 3-2 on penalties)
Build-up
Charles Watts/Kylian Mbappe composite
Arsenal can exploit two Real Madrid "weaknesses" to gain Champions League quarter-final advantage
Arsenal will have opportunities to "hurt" Real Madrid in their Champions League clash at the Emirates if they can focus on two key areas, expert Charles Watts believes.
Apr 7, 15:31
Ray Parlour/Jude Bellingham composite
Arsenal vs. Real Madrid: "One thing" about Los Blancos could help Gunners stun Champions League holders
Arsenal legend Ray Parlour explains "the one thing" about Real Madrid that should give the Gunners confidence of securing a first-leg win on Tuesday night.
Apr 7, 20:00
Real Madrid's Thibaut Courtois on February 11, 2025
Arsenal vs. Real Madrid: Will Thibaut Courtois start for Los Blancos in Champions League showdown?
Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti expects to have Thibaut Courtois available for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg against Arsenal.
Apr 5, 18:20
Italy and Arsenal defender Riccardo Calafiori pictured on September 6, 2024
Arsenal injury, suspension list and return dates for Real Madrid: Riccardo Calafiori, Raheem Sterling
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 6, 07:45
Real Madrid's Thibaut Courtois on February 15, 2025
Real Madrid injury, suspension news vs. Arsenal: Thibaut Courtois, Ferland Mendy, Dani Ceballos updates
Sports Mole looks at Real Madrid's injury and suspension news ahead of their Champions League clash with Arsenal.
Apr 6, 07:57
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates on September 15, 2024
Arsenal lineup vs. Real Madrid: Predicted XI for Champions League quarter-final as Bukayo Saka starts
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Arsenal could line up for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Real Madrid.
Apr 6, 11:05
Real Madrid's Aurelien Tchouameni on September 1, 2024
Real Madrid lineup vs. Arsenal: Predicted XI for Champions League quarter-final amid suspension blow
Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Real Madrid could line up for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg with Arsenal.
Apr 6, 11:16
Real Madrid goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois on August 25, 2024
Real Madrid squad vs. Arsenal revealed with six Los Blancos players missing and Thibaut Courtois call made
Real Madrid head coach Carlo Ancelotti names Thibaut Courtois in his squad for Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg against Arsenal.
Apr 6, 15:23
Vinicius Junior of Real Madrid CF celebrates a goal on November 9, 2024
Arsenal vs. Real Madrid: Six Los Blancos players will be walking a disciplinary tightrope against the Gunners
Real Madrid stars Eduardo Camavinga, Luka Modric, Lucas Vazquez, Vinicius Junior, Endrick and Antonio Rudiger will all be walking a disciplinary tightrope against Arsenal.
Apr 6, 19:38
Arsenal's Leandro Trossard and Declan Rice celebrate on March 4, 2025
Arsenal vs. Real Madrid: Best stats ahead of Champions League quarter-final first leg
Ahead of Tuesday's Champions League quarter-final first leg between Arsenal and Real Madrid, Sports Mole takes a look at the best stats relating to the game.
Apr 6, 20:58
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka celebrates on November 30, 2024
Bukayo Saka breaks silence on Arsenal future as Mikel Arteta drops Real Madrid hint
Arsenal winger Bukayo Saka breaks his silence on his future in North London as the Hale End graduate prepares to enter the final two years of his contract.
Apr 7, 13:19
Arsenal's Jurrien Timber and Declan Rice look dejected on December 8, 2024
Arsenal vs. Real Madrid: Mikel Arteta at risk of triple suspension blow for Champions League second leg
Arsenal could lose three players to suspension for the second leg of their Champions League quarter-final with Real Madrid at the Bernabeu.
Apr 7, 14:36
Real Madrid's Thibaut Courtois on February 11, 2025
Real Madrid injury news: Thibaut Courtois provides key fitness update ahead of Arsenal Champions League showdown
Real Madrid goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois provides an update on his availability ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Arsenal.
Apr 7, 23:51
Arsenal's Martin Odegaard pictured on November 6, 2024
Carlo Ancelotti makes Martin Odegaard admission as Real Madrid boss pinpoints one of Arsenal's main strengths
Carlo Ancelotti makes an admission over Martin Odegaard's Real Madrid exit ahead of Tuesday's Champions League clash with Arsenal.
Apr 8, 00:57
Arsenal's Bukayo Saka pictured on November 23, 2024
Arsenal-Real Madrid lineups confirmed as Bukayo Saka decision revealed for Champions League quarter-final
Arsenal and Real Madrid confirm their starting lineups for their Champions League quarter-final first leg at the Emirates Stadium.
18:46
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle30165952391353
6Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
7Aston Villa3114984646051
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3145222570-4517
20Southampton3124252374-5110


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