The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 61.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 61.67% | 20.73% | 17.59% |
| Both teams to score 54.85% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.56% | 41.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.17% | 63.83% |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.07% | 12.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 60.62% | 39.37% |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.99% | 37.01% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.2% | 73.8% |
| Score Analysis |
RB Leipzig 61.67%
Union Berlin 17.59%
Draw 20.73%
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-0 @ 10.01% 2-1 @ 9.95% 1-0 @ 9.79% 3-0 @ 6.83% 3-1 @ 6.79% 4-0 @ 3.49% 4-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-0 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.42% Other @ 3.39% Total : 61.67% | 1-1 @ 9.73% 2-2 @ 4.95% 0-0 @ 4.78% 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 20.73% | 1-2 @ 4.84% 0-1 @ 4.76% 0-2 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.64% 1-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.4% Total : 17.59% |
How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin
RB Leipzig
58.4%Draw
28.7%Union Berlin
12.9%101
Form Guide
