Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SC Paderborn win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 31.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SC Paderborn win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that SC Paderborn would win this match.
